Weekend Reading – The Dumbest Crash Ever. But Is Your Portfolio Ready For A More Severe Downturn?
Weekend Reading is a collection of Investment Research and Lifestyle topics from all corners of the Web. We source the highest quality insights from Wall Street and Main Street that you may apply to your investment process. Unlike the rest of Bankeronwheels.com, this series is provided without additional guidance. As usual, everything is to be used at your own risk. Below is the type of content we shortlist:
Question of the week
If you see a fragile bridge, you know it's going to collapse at some point
Featured
Flash Crash Aside, What Are The Odds Of A Bad Market Crash? How To Protect Against It? (Banker on Wheels)
A lot of today’s investors haven’t witnessed a 2000 or 2008-style crash, and overestimate their ability to take risk. The 2020 case often reinforced them in their views, but it was very short and much easier to manage. The next crash may be around the corner. But if you see a Grizzly Bear, it’s too late to run away. Grizzlies swim, climb trees and run at 60 km/h. Potential Bear encounters need to be prepared for. The same applies to Bear Markets. But, while a trip to Alaska is optional, market crashes are not. They are guaranteed to happen.
Portfolio Construction
Asset Allocation
Live and Let Buy: Which Bonds For Your Objectives? (Banker on Wheels)
Fixed Income Fund Types Should Be Aligned With Your Goals – There are eight categories that you may use in portfolio construction. Long-Term Investors In Accumulation Phase – often choose Government or Aggregate Bond ETFs, as they reduce the portfolio volatility. For such funds, most Investors tend to hedge currencies. Inflation Protected Bond ETFs can provide further protection, but their long-duration can be problematic in certain European countries. Retired Investors – often use other ETFs. We cover them all.
Understand Financial Markets
Is it like 2000 again? (GMO)
Like you, we have read countless comparisons between today’s enthusiasm for all things AI and the top of the TMT bubble in 2000, with the implication being that stocks are on thin ice. In terms of technical description, the parallels are accurate – the narrowness of the market, the elevated cross-sectional volatility, and the concentration of capitalization in a few issues all look similar to the 2000 top.
- The Dumbest Crash Ever (Compound & Friends)
- A new paper in line with Michael Green's work on fund flows (CAIA Association)
- 3 Thoughts About the Market Correction (A Wealth of Common Sense)
- Lots More on Solving the Mystery of the Big Market Selloff (Oddlots)
- The World’s Largest Stock Markets (1900 vs. 2023) (Visual Capitalist)
Is India overpriced? China vs India market values and profits (Meb Faber)
👀 India and China market cap vs profits. If you hold Emerging Markets you may have observed the India rise in share of market value vs China. However, profits have so far not followed this trend.
How To Invest
Active Investing
Factor Investing
Aswath Damodaran joins Alan Dunne in this episode for a fascinating and thought-provoking discussion on current markets and investing in general. They explore why Aswath believes we have witnessed the death of old-school value investing and how structural shifts in the economy have fundamentally altered the investing landscape. The discussion delves into the valuation of Nvidia and the Mag 7, questioning whether the hype around AI is justified.
Discretionary Investing
Alternative Asset Classes
Summary of Research related to Gold (Return Stacked)
Gold has long been a prominent asset in the world of investment, distinguished from stocks and bonds by its lack of dividends or interest. Historically serving as a store of value, unit of exchange, and material for jewelry, gold retains its significance in modern finance as an investment serving as a store of value or as a diversifying asset in an investment portfolio.
Wall Street
Europe‘s most valuable companies
Europe‘s most valuable companies are a company selling obesity drugs to Americans and a company selling handbags to Asians. It's followed by ASML, Nestle, L'Oreal and Hermes.
ETFs
US ETFs
Wealth Management
Personal Finance
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Platforms
(Early) Retirement
- $656,000 of Frugal Things I Still Love Doing (Mr. Money Mustache)
- Why fire is so hard for some people and what they can do about it (Millennial Revolution)
- The 4% Rule and Managing Sequence of Returns Risk with Wade Pfau (Excess Returns)
- Our 80/20 Rules for Early Retirement: How We Did It (Two Sides of FI)
- A millionaire early retiree earning $380,000 a year in passive income went back to work—but only lasted 4 months (CNBC)
Design Your Lifestyle
Personal Development
Careers & Entrepreneurship
Big Tech Doesn't Want You Anymore (Patrick Boyle)
Big Tech is slashing hundreds of thousands of jobs and blaming artificial intelligence, but there may be more to the story than that. Intel just announced fifteen thousand layoffs yesterday, causing their stock price to plunge. Big Tech, who for over a decade provided all sorts of employee perks may no longer be the dream place to work.
Travel
Tech & Economy
Economy
Tech & Science
There's a lot of hype around generative AI and many people have interfaced with ChatGPT, Claude, or Gemini at this point. It's fun to ask these large language models to come up with a song parody or to write a story, but most casual users of the technology probably aren't worried about things like copyrights, the sensitivity of what they're inputting into the platform, or even the accuracy of the answers being spit out. It's just fun to play around with the technology. For large companies, however, there's a lot at stake.
And Finally
Good Luck and Keep’em* Rolling!
(* Wheels & Dividends)
Trade Wars, Real Wars, but Equities Close To All-Time Highs: Is It A Good Time To Invest?
7 Reasons Why Japan May Be Your Next Cycling Adventure
Nomads in 2026: Genki vs SafetyWing – Which Travel Insurance Wins?
How You Can Cycle The World – A Practical Guide
Weekend Reading – Vanguard Cuts Fees across 15 ETFs & IBKR launches prediction markets
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